Icasa vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
ICA
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ICA
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 2
ICA
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 2
PPE
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |