Icasa vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
ICA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 2
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
ATL
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
ICA
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -2 |