Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
ÍBV vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
IBV
2 - 1
STJ
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
THO
2 - 1
IBV
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IBV
2 - 0
VIK
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
KEF
0 - 2
IBV
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
IBV
1 - 1
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
STP
1 - 0
BRW
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 2
STP
14%
24%
62%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
DRO
1 - 4
STP
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 2
STP
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
STP
1 - 1
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |