Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-4
ÍBV vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
IBV
2 - 0
FRA
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
IAA
1 - 2
IBV
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
IBV
2 - 2
VIK
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
IBV
2 - 2
KAA
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 1
IBV
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
LPO
2 - 2
ZAG
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
GWA
1 - 0
LPO
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
LPO
2 - 1
CRA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
WLO
2 - 1
LPO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1982 |
LPO
1 - 0
POG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |