ÍBV vs Keflavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
4º
4º
16
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HKK
0 - 1
IBV
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 1
IBV
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IBV
2 - 2
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FYL
2 - 2
IBV
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IBV
2 - 2
KRR
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 3
FYL
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 1
KEF
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 1
HKK
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
KAA
4 - 2
KEF
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
KEF
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |