Ibrachina Sub 20 vs EC Macapá Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibrachina Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
IBR
0 - 0
VIT
5%
15%
80%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
IBR
5 - 0
PIC
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
IBR
2 - 1
CSA
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
EC Macapá Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
ECM
4 - 0
APS
55%
23%
23%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
ECM
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 1
ECM
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | +1 |