Ibiza Insular vs Luchador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
76.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+279%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibiza Insular
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INL
2 - 0
SPA
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BSA
4 - 9
INL
42%
20%
38%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
INL
4 - 1
JOS
10%
14%
76%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 0
INL
84%
10%
6%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
INL
1 - 3
INT
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SRF
1 - 2
LUC
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 0
PDE
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
LUC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 0
IBI
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
JOR
1 - 0
LUC
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |