SD Ibiza vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ibiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
FLN
1 - 5
IBI
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
IBI
2 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 3
IBI
11%
19%
70%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CFP
1 - 0
IBI
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
IBI
2 - 1
SRF
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
BNS
45%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
SRF
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PBL
2 - 0
MER
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CDS
1 - 0
MER
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |