Ibarra vs Villa Santa Brígida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 2
CDT
6%
14%
80%
|
35 | 76 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
EST
0 - 2
UDI
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UDI
4 - 0
COT
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HCF
0 - 2
UDI
8%
18%
74%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAN
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
VSB
1 - 2
LPA
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SDT
3 - 1
VSB
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
VSB
4 - 2
CSU
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UDL
5 - 4
VSB
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VSB
1 - 3
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |