Ibarra vs Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CSU
4 - 1
UDI
55%
23%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 0
SDT
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 1
CDT
35%
27%
38%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
UDI
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 0
UDI
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 0
VER
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VER
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VER
1 - 1
CSU
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
UDI
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CDT
3 - 4
VER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |