Ibarra vs Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDI
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
UDI
4 - 1
UDL
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
YAI
0 - 2
UDI
59%
23%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 1
EST
18%
24%
59%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TEL
3 - 2
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VER
0 - 3
VSB
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
VER
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VER
1 - 1
VEC
17%
23%
61%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
UNV
2 - 2
VER
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
CDM
13%
21%
65%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |