Ibarra vs CD El Médano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CDP
1 - 2
UDI
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 0
UDT
41%
26%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDI
68%
20%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UDI
5 - 4
UDI
36%
26%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
1 - 0
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Médano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 2
LLA
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
UDN
0 - 0
UDM
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
UDM
5 - 0
UDO
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CUB
4 - 1
UDM
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
2 - 3
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |