Ibarra vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 0
UNV
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 2
UDI
57%
23%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 1
COT
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
VSB
2 - 1
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDI
0 - 0
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
CAG
13%
22%
65%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
REA
1 - 4
VSB
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
REA
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
VEC
3 - 0
REA
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
REA
3 - 2
UNV
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |