Ibarra vs Panadería Pulido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
5º
14º
14º
6
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 70 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 67 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 57 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 54 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 50 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 49 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 38 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 36 |
14º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 32 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 29 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 41.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 1
PAS
14%
24%
62%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UDI
4 - 0
UDG
63%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
UDI
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDI
0 - 4
YAI
23%
25%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 3
UDI
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Panadería Pulido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
PAN
60%
21%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
YAI
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
PAN
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
LAN
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
CDB
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |