Ibarra vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAS
1 - 0
UDI
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
UDI
3 - 0
VIC
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 1
CDB
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CDM
2 - 2
VER
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CDM
2 - 1
CDT
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PAS
0 - 0
CDM
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CDM
2 - 1
SDT
33%
23%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDM
2 - 1
UDL
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |