Ibarra vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VER
1 - 0
UDI
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 2
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
UDI
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
UDI
2 - 1
UDL
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
UDS
4 - 2
UDI
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDM
3 - 2
UDS
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TAM
4 - 2
CDM
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CDM
6 - 1
VSB
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UPR
0 - 0
CDM
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PAS
1 - 1
CDM
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |