Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-6
Ibarra vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 1
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
IGA
1 - 1
UDI
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
UDI
3 - 2
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CDM
4 - 5
UDI
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
UDI
3 - 4
CDP
51%
25%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
TEL
1 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEV
45%
29%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
MAR
4 - 0
RJA
63%
23%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ALB
5 - 2
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |