Ibarra vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HCF
0 - 2
UDI
8%
18%
74%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAN
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UDS
2 - 4
UDI
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 2
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
4 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
CDT
24%
25%
52%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 2
COT
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
UPR
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
COT
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
COT
0 - 1
VSB
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |