Ibach vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
IBA
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 0
ESC
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 1
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
IBA
4 - 1
KUS
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 5
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 2
TEA
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
WIL
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
HOC
5 - 2
WIL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |