Ibach vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
IBA
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 3
IBA
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
IBA
1 - 2
TAV
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 2
IBA
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 4
GOL
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
SAR
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 1
GUN
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
WIL
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |