Ibach vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
13º
67
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
IBA
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
IBA
1 - 1
BUO
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 2
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
IBA
40%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
ESC
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
MEN
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
ASC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |