Ibach vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 1
EMM
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LSS
2 - 2
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TAV
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
IBA
4 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 2
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
YVE
0 - 4
LUG
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
LOC
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAU
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
FCV
0 - 3
LUG
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
KRI
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |