Ibach vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GUN
0 - 1
IBA
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
4 - 3
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 4
BUO
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 3
IBA
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GUN
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 2
LUZ
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 3
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 3
ESC
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 1
LUZ
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |