Ibach vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
IBA
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
IBA
4 - 1
BRU
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 2
IBA
35%
25%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 0
HOC
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 0
LOC
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
4 - 0
HOC
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |