Ibach vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
GUN
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GOL
2 - 0
IBA
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
ESC
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
IBA
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LUZ
0 - 0
IBA
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 2
HOC
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 2
SAR
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HOC
0 - 4
LAU
9%
15%
77%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +1 |