Ibach vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 1
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
IBA
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 4
FCM
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
IBA
1 - 2
SAR
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 3
GOL
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
4 - 1
FCA
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
0 - 2
LSS
34%
23%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 1
BAL
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |