Ibach vs Baar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VED
0 - 3
IBA
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
IBA
3 - 5
BUO
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 1
IBA
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 3
RUS
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
IBA
0 - 1
ZUG
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 2
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCB
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 1
LSS
45%
23%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EMM
1 - 0
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCA
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |