Ibach vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 2
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
IBA
1 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 1
IBA
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 2
LSS
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
FCM
1 - 2
IBA
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
TAV
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCA
4 - 0
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 3
FCA
50%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
FCA
5 - 1
GOL
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +3 |