Ibach vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
4 - 2
IBA
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
0 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
IBA
32%
23%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 2
RUS
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 2
ESC
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 4
FCS
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 1
EMM
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 1
ESC
27%
22%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +2 |