Ibach vs Balerna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
IBA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
AAR
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 4
IBA
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUZ
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
IBA
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 2
TAV
20%
22%
58%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FCA
6 - 0
BAL
79%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
GOL
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LSS
2 - 1
BAL
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |