Ibach vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
TAV
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
IBA
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 0
IBA
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
22%
19%
60%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 4
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |