Ibach vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUZ
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
0 - 2
IBA
53%
23%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 3
PER
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
IBA
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
BRU
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASC
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 2
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |