Ibach vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LUZ
3 - 1
IBA
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
IBA
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
IBA
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
IBA
2 - 2
BUO
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 2
IBA
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
4 - 3
AAR
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
AAR
3 - 0
BUO
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 3
AAR
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AAR
1 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LSS
1 - 0
AAR
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |