I-Kissat vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
I-Kissat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LPA
3 - 0
IKI
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TUT
2 - 1
IKI
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
IKI
0 - 3
NAR
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
IKI
0 - 3
AIF
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 1
IKI
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AIF
0 - 1
ILV
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
3 - 0
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MUS
2 - 10
ILV
19%
22%
60%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BK4
4 - 0
ILV
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
TPS
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |