I'Gara vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
I'Gara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1990 |
AGU
2 - 0
IGA
42%
26%
31%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
IGA
2 - 0
LLA
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
SDT
1 - 0
IGA
36%
29%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
IGA
1 - 1
UDO
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
LAG
1 - 0
IGA
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1990 |
UDI
3 - 2
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CDM
4 - 5
UDI
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
UDI
3 - 4
CDP
51%
25%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
UNI
2 - 0
UDI
41%
26%
33%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
UDI
3 - 0
TOR
64%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |