Nola 1925 vs Ilvamaddalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
18º
18º
38
3º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
84.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SOR
2 - 0
HYR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HYR
1 - 0
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
APR
1 - 3
HYR
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HYR
1 - 1
ACC
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 4
HYR
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ilvamaddalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
0 - 4
PAG
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
0 - 0
APR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SOR
1 - 0
ASI
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
0 - 1
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASI
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |