Hyères vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 4
HYE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
BAY
33%
27%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BEZ
2 - 0
HYE
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
HYE
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAR
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 2
MAR
34%
26%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
42%
29%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |