Hyères vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
11º
9º
8
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
8 | 53 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 50 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 49 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 49 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 48 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MOA
1 - 1
HYE
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 0
FRE
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
HYE
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LPV
1 - 1
HYE
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IST
2 - 0
LES
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
IST
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
MGG
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
3 - 2
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |