Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
11º
9º
8
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
8 | 53 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 50 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 49 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 49 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 48 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
HYE
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LPV
1 - 1
HYE
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HYE
1 - 1
CAN
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 0
HYE
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
LES
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
0 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
FRE
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
FRE
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |