Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
6º
36
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 0
JUR
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AND
1 - 1
HYE
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HYE
1 - 0
THO
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
45%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
HYE
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
AUB
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
FRE
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |