Hyde vs Ashton United analysis

Hyde Ashton United
50 ELO 44
-5.1% Tilt -4%
4951º General ELO ranking 4246º
222º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Hyde
21.9%
Draw
19%
Ashton United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
Hyde
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
Ashton United
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hyde
-20%
+14%
Ashton United

Points and table prediction

Hyde
Their league position
Ashton United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
19º
70
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radcliffe Borough
90
93
100%
Macclesfield Town
80
83
82%
Marine
79
82
72.5%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
75
79
80%
Worksop Town
73
76
89.5%
Hyde
70
71
90%
Ashton United
70
70
98.5%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
60%
Gainsborough Trinity
63
66
52%
Lancaster City
11º
62
65
10º
24%
Whitby Town
10º
62
63
11º
45.5%
Guiseley
12º
61
62
12º
70.5%
Morpeth Town
13º
56
56
13º
88.5%
Matlock Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
United of Manchester
15º
52
53
15º
27.5%
Bamber Bridge
16º
47
48
16º
48.5%
Marske United
22º
24
48
17º
20%
Workington
17º
44
44
18º
71.5%
Basford United
18º
37
38
19º
85%
Bradford Park Avenue
19º
33
33
20º
70.5%
Stafford Rangers
20º
30
31
21º
71%
Atherton Collieries
21º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hyde
Ashton United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
8.5% 0%
Mid-table
91.5% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hyde
Ashton United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hyde
Hyde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2023
MAC
Macclesfield Town
0 - 0
Hyde
HYD
67%
19%
14%
51 58 7 0
23 Dec. 2023
HYD
Hyde
3 - 1
Radcliffe Borough
RAD
30%
26%
45%
50 55 5 +1
16 Dec. 2023
GUI
Guiseley
2 - 2
Hyde
HYD
47%
25%
28%
50 51 1 0
09 Dec. 2023
HYD
Hyde
2 - 2
Bamber Bridge
BAM
53%
23%
24%
50 46 4 0
28 Nov. 2023
HYD
Hyde
2 - 2
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
56%
23%
21%
50 45 5 0

Matches

Ashton United
Ashton United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
1 - 2
United of Manchester
UNM
40%
24%
36%
45 47 2 0
23 Dec. 2023
MAR
Marske United
1 - 0
Ashton United
ASH
24%
23%
53%
47 36 11 -2
16 Dec. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
2 - 2
Workington
WOR
49%
23%
29%
47 45 2 0
12 Dec. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
2 - 1
Stafford Rangers
RFC
62%
21%
18%
47 41 6 0
09 Dec. 2023
BAS
Basford United
1 - 2
Ashton United
ASH
26%
25%
49%
46 40 6 +1