Hwaseong vs Yangju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 1
PAJ
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 0
HWA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 0
DAE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GYE
1 - 0
HWA
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HWA
2 - 3
MOK
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Yangju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YAN
1 - 1
GAN
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
YAN
0 - 0
GIM
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
YAN
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BUS
2 - 1
YAN
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
YAN
1 - 1
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |