Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 0
MOK
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
YES
0 - 0
HWA
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
YAN
2 - 1
HWA
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 4
POC
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 1
HWA
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ulsan Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 4
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GAN
0 - 0
ULS
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GYE
1 - 2
ULS
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 0
ULS
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 2
SIH
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |