Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
HWA
0 - 1
GIM
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
PAJ
1 - 1
HWA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HWA
0 - 3
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DAE
2 - 0
HWA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HWA
2 - 3
GYE
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ulsan Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ULS
4 - 1
PAJ
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ULS
1 - 1
DAE
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GYE
2 - 2
ULS
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ULS
1 - 0
MOK
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |