Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 2
HWA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HWA
0 - 4
MOK
46%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 2
HWA
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PAJ
2 - 1
HWA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HWA
2 - 1
DAE
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siheung Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SIH
1 - 2
BUS
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SIH
4 - 2
YAN
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
SIH
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MOK
4 - 3
SIH
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 1
SIH
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |