Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 0
HWA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 0
DAE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GYE
1 - 0
HWA
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HWA
2 - 3
MOK
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 1
HWA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
3 - 1
PAJ
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
PAJ
0 - 1
CHE
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DAE
2 - 2
PAJ
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAJ
2 - 1
GYE
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PAJ
0 - 1
MOK
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |