Hwaseong vs Changwon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 0
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
HWA
0 - 1
GIM
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
PAJ
1 - 1
HWA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HWA
0 - 3
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DAE
2 - 0
HWA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAJ
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
DAE
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
GYE
0 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MOK
1 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |