Hwaseong vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAJ
0 - 2
HWA
30%
27%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HWA
2 - 2
DAE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 2
HWA
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 3
HWA
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
HWA
4 - 5
CHA
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 1
BUS
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
1 - 0
GYE
17%
24%
59%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 2
BUS
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SIH
3 - 1
BUS
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |