Champions League Last 16
Global 3-6
Hvidovre IF vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hvidovre IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1967 |
HVI
3 - 3
BAS
45%
21%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
BAS
1 - 2
HVI
71%
15%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
HVI
2 - 2
EIN
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
EIN
5 - 1
HVI
84%
10%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
RMA
3 - 0
BET
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATM
67%
20%
14%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
RMA
2 - 2
ESP
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |