Champions League 1/16
Global 5-4
Hvidovre IF vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
34%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hvidovre IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
BAS
1 - 2
HVI
71%
15%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
HVI
2 - 2
EIN
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
EIN
5 - 1
HVI
84%
10%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
BAS
1 - 2
HVI
71%
15%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
BAS
2 - 2
VVD
53%
20%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 1
BAS
55%
19%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
5 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
BAS
1 - 3
VCF
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |